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Friday, September 21, 2012# ?- S4 j! f* @) T- A; N8 x
$ I6 o1 w" E. @
Houston, TX - The Plaza Group’s August acetone report for August says U.S. Large Buyer settled at $0.455 per pound, up only $0.005 from July. This was $0.01 less than expected. Refinery grade propylene averaged essentially a rollover from July. Acetone supply/demand remained snug with little if any imports. Phenol plant operating rates remained at best in the low 70 percent range. Acetone demand into the MMA market is estimated to slightly reduce. Other solvent-based demand remained relatively flat throughout the month. Reported spot acetone prices are notional only. Exporting phenol at low netbacks may be profitable by combining with incremental acetone margins but no transactions have been confirmed, the Plaza Group reported. Looking over the next couple months, there does not seem to be any forecast of supply/dynamics, exacerbated by the Mt. Vernon phenol plant six week shutdown and the curtailment of the Georgia Gulf plant during the recent hurricane. As of right now, the demand for MMA is unknown. On pricing, we believe the current Large Buyer Price has peaked unless there is a significant price change in RGP, which is not expected. Distribution pricing is also expected to settle with some portion of the September price announcements becoming firm. Due to the different timing of increase announcements, the actual price is difficult to determine. The price should settle between the high 50s and low 60s, with mainly geographic differences. |
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